Thursday, June 18, 2015

Fair Trade Practices?

From Der Spiegel - August 22, 2011
"... like a pack of wolves" that seeks to tear entire countries to
pieces, said Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg. For that
reason, they should be fought "without mercy," French
 President Nicolas Sarkozy raged. Andrew Cuomo, the
 former attorney general and current governor of New York,
 once likened short-sellers to "looters after a hurricane."


Curious how the derivatives market works?  
"One might think of derivatives as a random game of online poker.
  • You don't know who your opponents are [your counterparty], 
  • you do not know if you will be paid [counterparty risk], 
  • you do not know if the game is legitimate, [lack of regulation], and 
  • your opponents are probably able to see what cards you are holding,  [market domination by large banks]. 
  • As well, you are making bets that in many instances neither you nor your opponents fully grasp [complexity of the market]. 
  • With each wager you are potentially risking not only your current assets, but your future assets as well. [leverage]. 
  • In some cases you do not know how much you are betting. 
  • Imagine as well, that you play this game every day with trillions of dollars that you do not have. 
This is the global derivatives market."
 ~ David Hague, 2014




"..., we know that the use of derivative securities played a pivotal role in the ... the financial collapse in The 2007-08 Financial Crisis."     Kristina Zucchi, CFA 
Nothing of substance has been done to mitigate the risks inherent in this unregulated industry.  Bank balance sheets, British central banker Andrew Haldane said caustically, are still "the blackest of boxes."




Monday, June 15, 2015

Los Angeles vs the Comet

The European Space Agency's Rosetta mission landed on a comet, and we all heard the news.  An interesting note not obvious in the photos from the mission is the size of the comet.  It's illustrated here, actual size, compared to the city of Los Angeles.

The Rosetta spacecraft traveled some 4 billion miles on the way to the intercept.  That's way more than forty times the distance from here to the sun.

It's hard to grasp such numbers in our mind picture of the mission. Maybe it would help if we visualized the earth at about the size of a VW Beetle; then you'd only have to drive 3 million miles to get to the comet.  Okay, still too much, huh.

So if Earth were the size of a grape and hanging on a vine in real-size Florida, the comet would be about the size of a white blood cell floating over real-size Sydney, Australia. Now visualize people living on that grape trying to launch a pair of molecules off to Australia to land on that white blood cell that is so unimaginably far away.  Never mind; I give up. And don't get me started on how far the Voyager mission has traveled.

Space missions are bizarre.

Saturday, June 13, 2015

Get a job!

I'd pay a lot to see this uninformed fellow work alongside my friends
in the real world.  He'd lose a little weight and a lot of attitude.
“Some people are self-starters, and some people are born lazy.  Some people are born victims.  Some people are just born to be slaves.”
~ Rush Limbaugh, on economic inequality, a poorly worded but generally consistent expression of current conservative opinion; 60% say the poor are lazy, more than 80% think the poor have it easy.
It's perhaps easy to think we know what's best for others. Does our own success place us somehow above with a comprehensive perspective?  Such thinking is always inaccurate; no exceptions.

Living and working in several countries began to open our understanding on how persistent poverty happens.  It's not from unwillingness to work in any of the venues we've observed.  In the U.S. and elsewhere, poverty seems to persist for a very short list of reasons.


The decline of two-parent families is greatest in the lower
economic demographics.  Cause and effect are controversial.
Lack of opportunity is first and largest on the list.  There are few viable exits from poverty.  Most make the attempt; few succeed.  For the poor, completing their education and getting a job with upward prospects are more difficult than one might expect.

For nations, well intentioned policy efforts are perhaps second. Effects can be destructive.  Unintended consequences of assistance programs in the U.S. include the decline of lower-quintiles' economic mobility, family unity, and a generation of children with absent fathers.

Those are the top-level categories; there are subordinate causal elements from environment and culture.  Regional economic inequality is a useful indicator.

Read 'poverty level' as 'survival level'.  Survival is basic, just food and shelter perhaps.  Getting a quality education, staying healthy, eating well, having a stable home in which to do homework, those are unlikely at the survival level.

The poverty level (survival level) is a threshold, not the income level for all the households in the category.  In the U.S., the number of households with children living in extreme poverty (at $2/person/day) is about 1.7 million; more if you include the elderly and others without kids.

The U.S. suicide rate among African American men stems pointedly from their inability to find a place where they can join the mainstream, be productive, provide for a family, and get ahead.  Similar distress spans the globe.
In Africa, a father wept in shame and despair because he could not provide for his wife and children no matter how hard he tried.  His lament was not that he had no money but that he had no opportunity, no voice, no significance.
We put a young fellow through trade school and internship only to find that employment was available but not to him.  He's from the wrong tribe, Africa's equivalent to the good old boy network of influence and discrimination we're familiar with in the west.
In Africa as in the rest of the world, it's not the land that brings people to poverty, nor is it an unwillingness to work.  It's a wealth-focused economy (and government and culture) that marginalizes the lower economic segment of the population. Inequality is a weapon by which the few profit at the expense of others.  We in the west who claim the moral high-ground of equality, of law and justice, will perhaps eventually see that such a position is bent by self-interest and that what we have collectively become is in many ways unhelpful, sometimes even harmful.

No one chooses to be poor, to have their children be malnourished or undereducated, homeless or trapped in extreme poverty.  Such circumstances are imposed, not chosen.

As individuals, what options are available to us for a meaningful way forward?  And how do we avoid wrong thinking?

An interesting side note: a technical military career (particularly non-infantry) is a viable path upward for many.  Technical and leadership training, certifications, and years of performance are quite marketable and easily built upon.  Know why?  Recruits show up from everywhere, get groomed and clothed as equals, get trained according to interests and ability, and advance based on effort and skill.  It's an accessible opportunity for some.  A good educational foundation is the prerequisite, of course.  What might we deduce from that proven scenario?

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

mis·an·thrope

ˈmis(ə)nˌTHrōp,ˈmiz(ə)nˌTHrōp/
noun
  1. a person who dislikes humankind and avoids human society.
    synonyms:hater of mankind, hater, cynic; 

Art Garfunkel speaking about himself.  “I’m a misanthrope,” he says.


When asked what advice he has given his son, he perhaps humorously offers, “Watch out for traffic.”  His son is 24 now.

Anything else? “Be kind to people. I’m working on that second one myself, because I’m not always kind. I’m judgemental and picky. When I order room service and they get it wrong I try so hard to be kind and I fail. ‘But I only asked for three things! How could you get one wrong?’

"Or to the taxi driver: 'How can this be hard? Listen to the address and take me there. Don't you care about your job?'"

Now in his 70's, Garfunkel sees his life with clarity, and he benefits from a review of his own behavior, his own attitude, and his response to others. There's more to life than what happened decades ago when he split with Paul Simon.



Just how hard is it for us to deal with life?  Can we acknowledge, forgive and move on?  Can we choose to be kind? And not just well mannered, but truly kind-hearted?  Imagine the difference it would make if the years were filled with caring about others (he said, preaching to himself as usual).

Saturday, June 6, 2015

Per Person, Per Day

How much folks have to live on - from this year's data for populationproductivity, and share.


“Globalization is the result of powerful governments, especially that of the United States, pushing trade deals and other accords down the throats of the world’s people to make it easier for corporations and the wealthy to dominate the economies of nations around the world without having obligations to the peoples of those nations.” — Noam Chomsky





Global Wealth
Global Interests
Global Corruption
Western civilization did indeed have a noble beginning.  Free individuals, free enterprise, equality, democracy, all are healthy but only if healthy folks are the players.  Prospects now are murky and confused as our governments join the ranks of those who forgot whom they serve and why.

We get to choose.


Friends at home.  This is the real world.
The poor and disenfranchised have no voice in the matter, and their circumstances ensure they suffer and die quietly on the outskirts of world awareness.  Shall we leave the discussion quietly and resign ourselves to the status quo? 

Not a chance.

Thursday, June 4, 2015

Receiving. And Giving.

Casa Fiz do Mundo   (homemade world!)


Accepting someone’s help is as good as giving someone help. This is a large work I've called you into, but don’t be overwhelmed by it. It’s best to start small. Give a cool cup of water to someone who is thirsty, for instance. The smallest act of giving or receiving makes you a true apprentice. You won't lose out on a thing.
M10:40ff
I hope I understand.





On my short list of heroes, Casa Fiz do Mundo has been helping others for years.  We've crossed paths but never met.  
They work in western Africa; I've met some of the folks they serve so graciously.