Wednesday, December 28, 2016

In Defense of Inequality




In Congress on the defense of inequality -- 
"This is not the proper occasion, but, if it were, it would not be difficult to trace the various devices by which the wealth of all civilized communities has been so unequally divided, and to show by what means so small a share has been allotted to those by whose labor it was produced, and so large a share given to the non-producing classes. The devices are almost innumerable, from the brute force and gross superstition of ancient times, to the subtle and artful fiscal contrivances of modern." ~Senator John Calhoun on the legitimacy of slavery, 1837
The senator's argument in favor of slavery is much like the current arguments in favor of unregulated business, unregulated wages, and unregulated trade.  Ethically, they're identical.  We've changed some laws since 1837, of course, but not the problem.  Nothing trickled down below the top 10%, and the rising tide only lifted the rich merchant ships.  Inequality continues in the developed world at the insistence of the privileged.  One wonders if we see what's in front of us.

______________________________
In the world's richest country, why would 20% of the children live in poverty?

Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Inaccessible to Modern Science

Science: we depend on it for answers.  Are there areas inaccessible to scientific inquiry?  If you ask a scientist, the answer is no.

So ask them what their favorite music might be and how they arrived at that preference.  And why.  Surprisingly, there's no scientific answer.  (Give it a try yourself, if you like.*)

Similarly, that freedom of speech which we so sincerely defend is scientifically unexplainable.  It suggests an underlying independence of thought which requires free choice and will, all of which are unsupportable concepts.  The deeper we delve into neuroscience, the more conclusive the argument that we are just programs running on a bio-computer.  No soul, nothing original, just processing data with predictable results.

There is agreement now in the scientific community that the firing of neurons determines not just some or most but all of our thoughts, hopes, memories, and dreams.

That's the best that hard science offers.

In 1924, Max Wertheimer gave a now-famous talk about Gestalt Theory, “Über Gestalttheorie.”  ('Gestalt' is a whole, greater than the sum of the parts, for those of us who might wonder.)  His interesting speculation, that when we pursue a scientific answer exclusively, it can leave us without the whole of what we were looking for.


*What's your favorite music?  Why?  How do you feel when you hear it?

  1. It's a style I enjoy or a particular song or preformance. 
  2. It really speaks to me, it transports me to ____.
  3. So how do the mechanics of this music (but not that other music) transform my feelings? 
  4. In my brain, do I hear and choose to enjoy this but not that?
  5. Or is it an unconscious process?  A program running in my brain?  And another running in the brain of the composer and performers?
  6. Neuroscience maps the brain activity, and science insists it's a bio-computer process, not a 'self'.
  7. So I'm not an autonomous individual, just a helpless passenger in an automatic vehicle.  Hmmm.
  8. Do my choices come from me or from the brain program?  Science says it's just neurons following specific processes, all deterministic.  All.  Composer, performer, listener, ... all.
  9. So why my music preference?  According to modern science, I'm just an electro-bio-machine that follows its programming.  Apparently 'I' don't exist.  😃  And the jazz I like just randomly happened.
Modern science can disassemble and explain the parts, but it can, on occasion, miss the greater whole.  This is just one of hundreds of such examples.  Read the references for a beginning point.  It's a fascinating inquiry.  Do 'we' even exist?

_______________________________________
So, does 2+2=4?  Of course it does, but I'm not a number, and neither, I suspect, are you.

Monday, December 19, 2016

In case you were wondering ...


You'll notice in the graphic that the richer a country becomes, the greater their CO2 emissions per person. The richest 10% of folks produce about half of the CO2, and the rest of the world produces much less per person.

As we address quality of life issues worldwide, the increase in emissions for all is projected to rise to the common levels we see in the developed countries.

The remaining question is the degree of impact our CO2 emissions will have on the world climate system. While the debate continues, the evidence accumulates.  You might appreciate Modeling Sustainability by an objective group focused more on facts than interpretation.  Do your own research of the facts.

___________________
False.  
Fake science.  A friend offered this
as a rebuttal.  😃  Lack of information,
lack of inquiry, lack of understanding.

False.
Mount Aetna does not produce 10,000 times more CO2 than all of mankind, despite the fake memes. All the world's volcanoes produce about 200 million tons of emissions each year which seems like a lot until you see that humans produce more than a hundred times that amount.  
Actual measurement: volcanoes vs. humans

An indication that human emissions dwarf those of volcanoes is the fact that atmospheric CO2 levels, as measured by sampling stations around the world set up by the federally funded Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, have gone up consistently year after year regardless of whether or not there have been major volcanic eruptions in specific years. “If it were true that individual volcanic eruptions dominated human emissions and were causing the rise in carbon dioxide concentrations, then these carbon dioxide records would be full of spikes—one for each eruption.  Instead, such records show a smooth and regular trend.” ~Coby Beck, writing for Grist.org.

Interestingly, COlevels and climate have been closely linked for thousands of years, and now we're contributing more than the volcanoes. Much more.  See the USGS.gov report.

Monday, December 12, 2016

Fifty Million Tons

Fifty million tons of warm tropical sea water would make a spectacular gift, especially if it included sea life.  That's the gift the Kuroshio current gives Japan.  Every second.

Fifty million tons of warm water arrive every second in the seas surrounding Japan, bringing warmth and rain and fertile grounds for sea life.  The current makes the region viable for agriculture and limits the severity of winters, much like the Gulf Stream that provides warmth to the eastern U.S and to the U.K.

Did you know such currents are tied to climate?  And they vary from year to year. Imagine the complex physics of such a machine. Equatorial warmth, rising and expanding water, deeper waters drawn upward, planetary rotation distributing the upwelling, flow toward cooler climes where, as temperature falls, increasing density causes descent to the depths, and the cycle repeats.  El Niño and La Niña are complex weather patterns resulting from variations in ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific.  They affect continental weather patterns and the deep ocean current cycles as well.

Dead coral reef, bleached by increasing ocean acidity and warming waters.

Sea life and biomass go with the flow, great quantities of gases are absorbed and processed, and the chemistry of the sea water fluctuates over the millennia.

Recent changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide are contributing to the ocean's dramatic acidification.  A third or so of our fossil fuel CO2 emissions are absorbed by the oceans; that's around 10 billion tons per year added to the ocean chemistry.  The changing aquatic environment is killing the coral reefs, and not slowly. The current rate of change is now 100 times faster than any changes in ocean acidity in the last 20 million years, raising questions of whether all marine life can adapt to the changes.  The scope of impact is under continuing study.

The severity of the issue has prompted suggestions of deliberate climate engineering as a mitigation.  What machine might we engineer that could process 50 million tons of water per second and deal with 10,000 million tons of CO2 each year?  Curious?  Take a look for yourself.

Ref. Ref. Ref.

Sunday, December 11, 2016

A Christmas Surprise


From a Facebook post remembering the occasion, a hundred years later ...


Christmas 1914
In the trenches of the war to end all wars, soldiers from both sides stopped fighting.  It was their own idea, not their commander's.  French, British, and German soldiers ventured across the no-man's-land.  
At the first light of dawn on Christmas Day, some German soldiers emerged from their trenches and approached the Allied lines across no-man’s-land, calling out “Merry Christmas” in their enemies’ native tongues. At first, the Allied soldiers feared it was a trick, but seeing the Germans unarmed they climbed out of their trenches and shook hands with the enemy soldiers. The men exchanged presents of cigarettes and plum puddings and sang carols and songs all along the western front. There is even a documented occasion of soldiers from opposing sides playing a good-natured game of soccer.
The Christmas Truce of 1914 came five months after the outbreak of war in Europe and was perhaps the last example of chivalry between enemies in warfare. It was never repeated - future attempts at holiday ceasefires were quashed by officers’ threats of disciplinary action - but it served as heartening proof, however brief, that beneath the brutal clash of weapons, the soldiers’ humanity endured. 




The truce lasted just from Christmas, 1914, to New Year's Day, 1915; then the soldiers were ordered back to their trenches.  A century later, most folks still understand the soldier's willingness to set aside their differences, but apparently the farther up the ladder you go, the harder it is to remember such things.

"We are all the same, though political ideologies and beliefs may try to tear us apart. These soldiers had a duty to fight for their country, whether Germany or the United States, but that didn't stop them from extending the hand of brotherhood across the battlefield, coming together in a time of war. In that moment, allegiances did not matter, only the kindness every soldier had in their heart not just for their comrades, but every soldier that day. May we remember, whatever we choose to believe politically or religiously, that first and foremost the person who you are looking at is just like you. Politics may drive us apart, but that should not stop us from coming together. Let's come together.  Merry Christmas!" ~FB comment by a young security officer

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Christmas Future -- Change or Fail

If we don’t change, we'll be irrelevant. 



That's a troubling truth for both liberals and conservatives.  It's only funny if you're not a party loyalist.
The future includes knowns and unknowns.  Like it or not, things will change with only limited predictability.  Principles and truth will remain unchanged, but how we fulfill them will have to adapt.  
  • Justice and freedom from oppression
  • Freedom of speech, of faith, of assembly
  • Life, liberty, and equal protection under the law
Each will remain clearly true, right, and appropriate, but our pursuit of each will have to evolve.

Remember the civil rights era?  Once segregation ended, we thought discrimination would disappear, but it didn't; it just relocated.  We also thought racism would die out.
  

Instead, we see class distinctions and increasing inequality. We see violent fundamentalists, religious intolerance, and an emerging oligarchy ... and each poses a challenge to a rational society.

Inequality has become brutal. The law (policy, regulation, trade practices) favors the wealthy and influential. The bottom 90% has made little progress in the last five decades, and many have lost ground. Economic mobility has declined. Wages have declined. Impressive GDP gains have gone exclusively to the wealthiest 10%.

In the public realm, we're divided. It has crippled Congress and precipitated a number of major problems. Public approval is lower today than at any point in my lifetime. From generation to generation, we have progressively less confidence in institutions including church.       Why might that be?

Things will continue changing. Law, government, church, school, community, and culture ... each will become irrelevant or even harmful unless they adapt and mature. For our part, it's our choice, isn't it. How might we ourselves change and help with the journey toward freedom, justice, and equality?
__________________________
For liberals and conservatives, both were effectively brushed aside in the recent election. Both are stunned by their inability to control their supposed constituencies.

Millennials, you'll note, are more interested in relationship and forgiveness than judgmentalism and stagnant
 traditions.  The prosperity gospel was an embarrassment. They want a faith connected to real life

Many Christian leaders today say the Millennial values and critiques have nothing to do with Jesus, who, according to them was all about avoiding damnation by a loving God.

Really? So all those healings of the sick, confronting hypocritical religious leaders, love your neighbor, and forgive your enemies stuff wasn’t the point. No wonder Millennials are leaving.


Perhaps there's more to life than politics and power, wealth and winning.  Merry Christmas.  💖 Really.












Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Informed Decisions

'Politicians discussing global warming'
~a statue in Berlin

When asked his approach regarding, "the whole issue of climate change, the Paris agreement, how you’ll approach it," President-elect Trump said, “the hottest day ever was in 1890-something, 98,” adding, “you know, you can make lots of cases for different views.” ~22 Nov 16
We hope for a willingness to learn in this administration and in ourselves.

Meanwhile, how do we as friends handle the discussion?  
Can we labor together through the facts and opinions without becoming adversaries?

The graphic below shows long-term global trends from multiple studies, data sets, and international science organizations.

New to the public forum, ocean heat content adds an additional perspective.  Around 90% of the heat accumulated from global warming resides in the oceans.  Changes affect several systems including the path and extent of surface and deep-ocean currents, rate of flow, El Niña and La Niña, and global weather patterns.  A favorite subject of mine for a few decades, this is perhaps the centerpiece of change impact.
This figure shows changes in ocean heat content between 1955 and 2015.
Ocean heat content is measured in joules, a unit of energy, and compared
against the 1971–2000 average, which is set at zero for reference.
Choosing a different baseline period would not change the shape of the
data over time. The lines were independently calculated using different
methods by government agencies in three countries: the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Australia’s Commonwealth
Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), and Japan
Meteorological Agency’s Meteorological Research Institute (MRI/JMA).
For reference, an increase of 1 unit on this graph (1 x 1022 joules) is
equal to approximately 18 times the total amount of energy used by all
the people on Earth in a year. (Ref)

Data sources: CSIRO, 2016 (Ref); MRI/JMA, 2016 (Ref); NOAA, 2016 (Ref)
























The tropical Pacific (8.2% of the earth's surface area) is a major player in absorbing the accumulating heat.  That regional surface segment will contain absorbed heat for a while, but recent trends show that the Pacific rather suddenly passed significant heat content to the Indian Ocean, which has seen an unprecedented rise in temperature over the past decade.  The Indian Ocean increase is equal to about 70% of the heat absorbed by the atmosphere in the last decade.
The analysis builds on a series of papers that track the causes for what’s been dubbed the 'hiatus' or the global warming slowdown, a period over the past 15 years that has seen surface temperatures rise slower than they did the previous decade.

Shifts in Pacific tradewinds appear to have helped temporarily store heat in the upper level of the ocean.  Since 2003, upper ocean heat content has actually been slowly decreasing in the tropical Pacific with a commensurate increase in the Indian Ocean.  A similar anomaly occurred, perhaps briefly, in a small segment of the north Atlantic as annual current volume fell 30%.  Total heat accumulation continues, and ocean currents appear to respond to the change in balances.  


UPDATE 7 MAY 17The administration told countries around the world  in writing last week that the United States is reconsidering its existing climate change rules and that it will not consider new ones that could hurt the economy or impact energy production at home.

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

We're so much smarter than our ancestors ...

We do indeed have different information. We know how to Google, but we'd likely starve without a grocery store.

Increasingly dense population appears to have been the foundation for most if not all significant human advancements. Explosive growth in industry, technology, science, and art can all be traced back to a tip-over point of population and proximity, where interconnectedness sparks collaboration and idea generation, where innovations are preserved across generations and geography, and skills can be shared.

Intellect and mental capacity are perhaps unchanged in the last 20,000 years or more.  We have no compelling science to the contrary.  Tools and art and complex cultures emerged long ago, but only in the more densely populated areas.  More sparsely populated areas, even though occupied by the same humans, waited until they also reached that density before joining the high-speed development path. Europe and western Asia were exploding with cultural growth while eastern and southern Asia followed much later.

It appears that significant advances in most categories require us to live close and work together, to talk and exchange ideas, and to make our way forward together.  If we're spread too sparsely across the landscape, new ideas tend to disappear before they can take root in the culture.

Cause and effect?  Since the 17th century, we've seen population increase 1000% at an accelerating rate.  In that time, we've seen stunning change in culture, in science, and in industry.  The rate of change appears to follow the rate of population change as well.

Question:  Did the emerging science create the population growth with improvements in agriculture, education, and health?  Or did the interactions of an increasingly dense population create the opportunity for such development?  👀 Post hoc, ergo propter hoc?
Next question:
 How much of the resulting change is helpful and how much is not?  Have we overpopulated some areas?
_________________________________________________________
So rather than evolutionary advances in brain power with some branches of humanity being smarter than others, it is more likely to be just population growth and proximity that trigger the rapid development we observe.  See a summary of the issue in a new study by UCL (University College London) scientists published in the journal Science.*
"Ironically, our finding that successful innovation depends less on how smart you are than how connected you are seems as relevant today as it was 90,000 years ago."
A lesson for today? Of course. Stay connected and involved in social discourse, understand what's changing, or ... perhaps be left behind. That's the difficulty faced today by government, church, educational systems, and ideologies.  Truth is unchangeable, of course, but everything else will inevitably change.  That's the difficulty we face as individuals; how do we participate in the inevitable changes we and our children will face?

Tomorrow will not be like yesterday.  They've been telling us that for a long time.**
_________________________________________________________
An interesting development; indigenous populations often resist the incursion of the developed world; native Americans (North and South, particularly Brazil), aboriginal Australians, etc.  Why might that be the case?  Are they uninformed or deliberately opposed on principle?

Ref: High population density triggers cultural explosions*
Ref: Late Pleistocene climate change and the global expansion of anatomically modern humans
Ref: Adam Powell, Stephen Shennan, and Mark G. Thomas. Late Pleistocene Demography and the Appearance of Modern Human Behavior, Science, 2009; 324 (5932): 1298 DOI: 10.1126/science.1170165
Ref: World Population Growth and Change
Ref: Change Bringers**

This of course is a particularly controversial subject.  😀
And for an additional perspective, if everyone lived as close together as they do in Manhattan, the entire world's population would fit on half the island of Madagascar with room to spare.  And beaches.

Saturday, December 3, 2016

The Path of Tradition


Truth is unchanging.  Everything else changes.

About Christians and Conservatives:  some Christians today are perhaps off the traditional path.  The church has a long history of decrying the exploitation of the poor and supporting union movements.  (See Rerum Novarm)
G.K. Chesterton’s writing about the rich often hits Occupy Wall Street levels -- “The rich man is bribed… that is why he is rich.”

Conservatives today, however, insist that poverty be explained as a moral failure.

Success as the product of moral superiority is the so-called Protestant ethic, but it is also, as Nietzsche noted, the “ethic of the hangman.”  The poor are considered culpable so that they can be punished - like today’s inadequate minimum wage or the public shaming of those on welfare.  

Jesus was neither conservative nor capitalist, interestingly, and the story of Lazarus and the rich man is a horror story appropriate for today's discussions.

There's a much better way.  Of course.  That's the good news part.

Friday, December 2, 2016

What comes first?

He wasn't talking about someone's sheep and goats, of course. Just an illustration
to make a point, like that other one about the camel and needle's eye.
Why would he say things like that?


"I will be a swift witness againstthose who cheat the worker of his wages, who oppress widows and the fatherless, againstthose who thrust aside the sojourner, and do not honor me, says the Lord of hosts." Malachi 3:5.

You have to feed and care for the horse that pulls the plow, of course, but apparently you don't have to pay employees a living wage. One in five of our own children live in poverty, though we are the wealthiest country in the world. The unfortunate among us are held back, and refugees are turned away at the door though they flee for their lives.

As individuals, how do we face the real world and the issues of conscience brought on by honestly doing so?

The priority in our culture is to live like the world's wealthiest 10%, as that seems to be the common choice.  Many, perhaps surprisingly, will see a better way and will choose to bring a few others along as they make their way forward.

_______________________________________
It's always a joy to see how many discover the good path, the good news.

So how about a magnificent life and purpose --


What does it take?  First comes a change of heart (of ethic) perhaps, and shaking off our culture-based priorities.  Then, lend a hand for however long it takes to make a difference; for years, if needed.  Through school and perhaps college, through troublesome times, through the last years.  Such a heart includes family and friends and others in the effort, does it not?

In the larger context of community and country, how might we make a better place for others?
________________________________________
I was surprised to find that much
of what I thought I might do
was unneeded. Most folks
I met on the far side of the
world asked for nothing. They
enjoyed just being friends, a little
encouragement, and perhaps a connection
 to the larger world.  I had to ask how I might
be a helpful friend.

It's a long journey, and more fun than just sitting at the top of the food chain.  And there's always more to learn.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Can a conservative be liberal during the Christmas season?

   Of course.


Can we have personal convictions that cover the political spectrum from left to right?
   Of course.

Can the spirit of Christmas make room for folks who may not agree with us?
   Of course.

Will our Muslim friends smile and say Merry Christmas when we meet.

   Probably.  
They're pretty open minded about such things.

And our Jewish friends?
   Same heart, same mind, same grace.


Can I presume that a political party is likely to represent well all those things that are important to me and to my family?
   Of course not.

So while the political left and right are screaming and insulting each other and fostering the most destructive emotions this Christmas season, do I have to choose a side?  
   Yes, of course.  
Either I join in the fear and hate, or I choose a better path.  Hate ruins pretty much everything, but it's not going to ruin my Christmas.  Yours either, if you're smart.  🎅
The point of remembering the birth of Jesus is to remember our Father's great love for us all.  All.  Right?

Monday, November 28, 2016

Humans of New York

Humans of New York - extraordinary insight into real life.
“I grew up in the suburbs. 

I used to think that I could write a prescription for a poor man: ‘Get a job, save your money, pull yourself up by the bootstraps.’ 

I don’t believe that anymore. I was ignorant to the experiences of poor people. I’d invite anyone to come and meet the people who live in this neighborhood. Right now we are surrounded by working poor people. These are the people who sell your tools at Sears, and fix your roofs, and take care of your parents, and mow your lawns, and serve your meals. They’re not getting a living wage. There’s no money left to save. There’s nothing left if they get sick. Nothing left if their car breaks down. And God forbid they make a mistake, because there’s nothing left to pay fines or fees. When you’re down here, the system will continue to kick dirt in your face. You can’t pull yourself up when there’s nothing to grab onto. We aren’t paying our brothers and sisters enough to live. 

We want them to serve us, but we aren’t serving them.” ~Humans of New York


In a world invisible to many, the majority of working Americans have continued in decline for almost half a century.


If you haven't seen the work by 'Humans of New York', you've missed a lot.

Saturday, November 26, 2016

الحشد الشعبي al-Hashd al-Shaabi

What western news doesn't include.
Iraq: Hashd Al-Shaabi takes control of all roads
leading to Mosul.  11/2016

Who is fighting the war against ISIS?  The People's Mobilization Forces (PMF) (الحشد الشعبي al-Hashd al-Shaabi) is a paramilitary organization in Iraq comprised of 42 militias.  They are united in opposition to ISIS.  The total numbers are uncertain, but the individual militia groups are hundreds to thousands each for a total of perhaps several hundred thousand.

They've fought ISIS by participating under Iraqi military leadership in major campaigns and with good success.  The second battle of Tikrit was a major victory as was the retaking of Fallujah.  In recent months, they captured a number of towns and villages from ISIS in the Mosul Offensive.

Iraqi PMF militia advance toward
Fallujah, 5/2016
Members of the militias are volunteers.  They deploy by the thousands to protect a vulnerable public.  Most members are Shia Muslim, but there are Sunni, Kurdish, and Christian groups as well.  Militia from Iran have joined the coalition.  Together, they've committed to defending their families and towns from the ISIS caliphate, and many have paid the price with their lives.

ISIS has committed war crimes and atrocities against Muslims, Christians, Jews, Americans, Europeans, Iraqis, Syrians, Iranians, .... civilians mostly, including women and children.

800 Christians join Shiite militia
 against ISIL. 7/2015
The political issues are complex, and establishing trust among the participants is a challenge.  The country continues in turmoil, and the conflict extends into Syria and beyond. These militia are men who have left their homes and families to fight those who would destroy their world.

You'll note the absence of any mention of their heroic efforts in western media.  Similarly, the majority opposition among Muslims against ISIS is unremarked.

Twenty million Muslims take part in the Pilgrimage of Arbaeen this month despite attacks by ISIS.  Among the attendees just a few days ago, Umm Ali came without her husband who is with the security forces on the front lines.
Muslim pilgrims gather in the
 holy city of Karbala (AFP)
“I came with my son and two daughters. I came from Samawa to Najaf by car, then from Najaf to Karbala on foot, to make a plea for my husband's safety.
We ask God to support us against Daesh [ISIS] members, to help us liberate Mosul, and urge our politicians to remember the people who have sacrificed so much."
Real people, real world, real life and death.  It matters.




ISIL, ISIS, Daesh, and Islamic State refer to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), also known as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Islamic State (IS), and by its Arabic language acronym Daesh.  It is a Salafi jihadist unrecognised state and militant group that follows a fundamentalist, doctrine of Sunni Islam.

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Check Up from the Neck Up

Curious how white supremacists could arrive at such an extreme position?

I've often wondered why the racial tensions I see in the west are perhaps less severe and expressed differently in other cultures. 

We have an odd history of stumbling along a perhaps different path. Among the colonists who landed in the west were those who weren't looking for a place to live, they were looking to be an extension of the empire, conquering and getting wealthy. When the indigenous folks declined to become their labor force, the elites discovered that they hadn't a clue how to survive, and most of the colonists died.  They didn't have the skills.  Only about 50 lived through the winter of 1609-10 from the original hundreds. 

British merchants began supplying labor from Europe and Africa; teenagers indentured and/or kidnapped and sold for labor as servants (slaves). After a couple of decades, the 'servants' outnumbered the elites by as much as 100 to 1.  It was volatile, and the 'servants' began to organize, to arm, and to revolt. Virginia history documents ten organized rebellions by mixed groups (African, European, other), ending with Bacon's Rebellion in 1676.  The rebels burned the capitol city of Jamestown to the ground, and chased the governor out of town.  They demanded pay and land for their labor.  The elites called in the army and crushed the rebellion; it was the last such major uprising.

Perhaps as an effort to divide and conquer, the laws that followed drew a line between black and white. Black servants were to be slaves for life as were any children born to them, and they were not allowed to marry. Whites were to perhaps be eventually freed from indenture, although many never were. Black free persons were severely constrained. More laws (the slave codes) followed, widening the gap between black and white and laying the legal foundation for today's racism, both subtle and extreme.

How it works:

There's perhaps a common thread in race-based conflict and in a class-conscious culture.[a]  It's our focus on our differences, the deliberate formalization of differences rather than common humanity and mutual assimilation, something perhaps more easily observed elsewhere in the world.[b] 

The media makes it difficult with inflammatory retelling of the alt-right meeting in D.C., as though those 200 men were somehow newsworthy.  You have to wonder if there isn't a more thoughtful response we might make as individuals and as a nation.  The media is a disappointment.[c]  It's a good opportunity for the church.  The key is not our differences, of course.




 [a] The capitalist system ultimately commodifies all workers – one’s own person becomes a commodity that one must sell in the labor market while the profits of one’s work are taken by someone else.  To keep this capitalist system in place… the logic of slavery applies a racial hierarchy to this system.  This racial hierarchy tells people that as long as you are not black, you have the opportunity to escape the commodification of capitalism.  This helps people who are not black to accept their lot in life, because they can feel that at least they are not at the very bottom of the racial hierarchy – at least they are not property; at least they are not slaveable. -Andrea Smith

 [b] Netherlands, Belgium, Finland, Sweden, Norway, and Denmark are among the least racist countries in the world with large percentages of foreign origin, little if any discrimination, and effective community, assimilation.

[c]The millions of Muslims who oppose ISIS aren't mentioned in the news, of course, nor is the fact that the primary ISIS target is other Muslims.  (In cases where the religious affiliation of terrorism casualties could be determined, Muslims suffered between 82 and 97% of terrorism-related fatalities over the past five years.)

Monday, November 14, 2016

Policy vs. Politics

Why Nations Succeed or Fail.  It has been on our minds lately as economic and political turmoil have stirred America and the world.  While today might be making us nervous, the debate over national viability spans the years.

There are a lot of half-answers -- they've been offered and discarded.  Things like:
  • It's the geography! - some places are good and others not so good.  True, but nations rise and fall in every region.  Did you know that North America was the 'leftovers' for colonization; all the wealth was farther south and had been claimed.
  • It's the demographics! - indigenous, immigrant, race, origin ... countries with virtually identical demographics vary widely in degrees of success.
  • It's the culture! - it makes a difference but not definitively.  South and North Korea are perhaps the most successful and most disastrous expressions of a single culture, geography, and demographic.
Extractive vs. inclusive -- when people are the 
resource, using them up and leaving them behind 
while the wealthy continue to benefit, that's 
extractive rather than inclusive.  The result 
is destructive to most for the
benefit of the few.
  • It's politics! - maybe, but it's more the specific leadership and the policies chosen to maintain power, to benefit the influential, to please the power players that make a difference.
  • Economics? - well, the math part is easy, but it's the policies that make the difference.  Extractive versus inclusive policies and institutions are the difference between Nogales, Mexico and Nogales, Arizona.



  • So, governance (policies & players) makes the difference.  
  • A benevolent dictator can govern a healthy economy and culture; bizarre but true.  And, a democracy might produce a disaster of polarization and inequality; Hitler's Germany began as a democracy that was bent that way.

    The common factors contributing to a nation's success or failure are perhaps most visible at the individual level.
    I have opportunity, the community makes a place for me and my family, and there's help for those who need it.  Everyone needs a hand along the way, of course, and I'll be glad to help, too.  There's a fair return for my labor, for my contribution.    
    << Equality vs. Inequality >>    
    At the opposite end of that spectrum, such quality of life concerns are addressed at a minimum level, perhaps just short of deadly.  In the western world, it's depersonalized as 'those welfare leeches', 'that 47% who never contribute', 'those government-dependents'.
    Governance and policy determine the well-being of regular folks.

    Government policies that attempt to address the needs of millions are rarely successful for all, and they often do harm to some.  If they're not reviewed and refined, they'll continue to be problematic. That part is understood and worth our aggressive effort to improve, but those are not the highest risk.

    Government decisions that favor wealth and power are deadly. They commonly lead to the nation's decline and eventual failure. That's the history.  Increasing inequality such as we see today is just an indicator.

    It's only among humans that we see the quest for 'more than I need or could ever use'.  Greed, avarice, gluttony, selfishness, pride, excess, all at the expense of others ... the subject matter is ancient, well understood, and ignored in extractive economics, today's common baseline for policy.

    If serfdom were a gallon bucket, we'd be below the rim and sinking as economic inequality accelerates and the GAP widens.

    There are easy solutions of course.  It's the players that make it hard.






    (Ref: Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty -- Daron Acemoğlu and James A. Robinson)