As a rule, civilizations rise, stagnate, and decline. That inevitable fall is commonly devastating with displacement of populations and economic collapse. That which might have been considered social progress can be offset by death and suffering. A vibrant culture can become insipid.
The Babylonians
What might they all have in common?
Most cited, a natural sequence of rise and fall.
"The decline of Rome was the natural and inevitable effect of immoderate greatness. Prosperity ripened the principle of decay; the cause of the destruction multiplied with the extent of conquest; and, as soon as time or accident had removed the artificial supports, the stupendous fabric yielded to the pressure of its own weight. The story of the ruin is simple and obvious; and instead of inquiring why the Roman Empire was destroyed, we should rather be surprised that it has subsisted for so long." [Gibbon, Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, (London, 1788, ed. 1909)]
To that immoderate greatness, Arnold Toynbee adds: The fall of a civilization occurred when a cultural elite became a parasitic elite, leading to the rise of internal and external proletariats (working class folks, grouped). I.e., revolution follows.
Joseph Tainter observes: There are diminishing returns to increased complexity. After a civilization reaches some maximum level of complexity, further increases produce a negative return and decline. When there are too many hands between the crop and the table, too many layers between work and the product, and too many rules regarding day to day life and business, perhaps the threshold has been reached.
It raises the question, just how complex (and sustainable) is our civilization? There are obviously many elements in a civilization's durability, yet one can't help but wonder about our 'parasitic elite' and extraordinary complexity. If there is such a threshold, we have certainly passed beyond the first risk level. Well beyond.
Solutions? Are democracy and a free market economy the solution?
Our second president John Adams warned, “Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other.”
How well do we understand the world, the daily life of others and our place in it all? |
And how about that 'parasitic elite' idea?
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Feel free to challenge any content. Many posts have been revised following critical review.