Saturday, July 1, 2017

Explicitly

Law and policy need not explicitly discriminate in order to isolate and divide effectively.  As François Anatole Thibault wrote years ago, “In its majestic equality, the law forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, beg in the streets and steal loaves of bread.”
Our poverty-level minimum wage, applied similarly to rich and poor alike, is perhaps today's most lucid illustration.  Poverty can be an inescapable cage for our minimum wage earners.
A reasonable minimum wage is not, by itself, a solution to poverty, but it begins to address the issue of fairness.  An employee is not a consumable resource (e.g., a mop or paper towels) to be used and discarded.  So there's minimal pay, and then there's reduced hours and irregular scheduling that can be abusive impediments to survival, as many folks must often work more than one job.  You can tell how much an employer cares about employees by such practices.

From Pew Research  Minimum wage earners make up a smaller share of the workforce than they used to. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, last year 1.5 million hourly workers earned the federal minimum of $7.25 an hour; nearly 1.8 million more earned less than that because they fell under one of several exemptions (tipped employees, ... and others), for a total of 3.3 million hourly workers at or below the federal minimum.

Among them, less than a fourth are teens making their way into the workforce.  Most are adults trying to earn a living.

______________________________
Here's an excerpt from MY WORKING LIFE NOW by Peter Van Buren, author, retired US Department of State, Foreign Service representative, Iraq.  He went to work at a national retail chain to understand the circumstances of the working poor.
...   I worked for a month and a half at a national retail chain in New York City. While mine was hardly a scientific experiment, I’d be willing to bet an hour of my minimum-wage salary ($9 before taxes) that what follows is pretty typical of the New Economy.
Just getting hired wasn’t easy for this 56-year-old guy. To become a sales clerk, peddling items that were generally well under $50 a pop, I needed two previous employment references and I had to pass a credit check. Unlike some low-wage jobs, a mandatory drug test wasn’t part of the process, but there was a criminal background check and I was told drug offenses would disqualify me. I was given an exam twice, by two different managers, designed to see how I’d respond to various customer situations. In other words, anyone without some education, good English, a decent work history, and a clean record wouldn’t even qualify for minimum-wage money at this chain.
And believe me, I earned that money. Any shift under six hours involved only a 15-minute break (which cost the company just $2.25). Trust me, at my age, after hours standing, I needed that break and I wasn’t even the oldest or least fit employee. After six hours, you did get a 45-minute break, but were only paid for 15 minutes of it.
The hardest part of the job remained dealing with… well, some of you. Customers felt entitled to raise their voices, use profanity, and commit Trumpian acts of rudeness toward my fellow employees and me. Most of our “valued guests” would never act that way in other public situations or with their own coworkers, no less friends. But inside that store, shoppers seemed to interpret “the customer is always right” to mean that they could do any damn thing they wished. It often felt as if we were penned animals who could be poked with a stick for sport, and without penalty. No matter what was said or done, store management tolerated no response from us other than a smile and a “Yes, sir” (or ma’am).
The store showed no more mercy in its treatment of workers than did the customers. My schedule, for instance, changed constantly. There was simply no way to plan things more than a week in advance. (Forget accepting a party invitation. I’m talking about childcare and medical appointments.) If you were on the closing shift, you stayed until the manager agreed that the store was clean enough for you to go home. You never quite knew when work was going to be over and no cell phone calls were allowed to alert babysitters of any delay.
And keep in mind that I was lucky. I was holding down only one job in one store. Most of my fellow workers were trying to juggle two or three jobs, each with constantly changing schedules, in order to stitch together something like a half-decent paycheck. In New York City, that store was required to give us sick leave only after we’d worked there for a full year—and that was generous compared to practices in many other locales. Until then, you either went to work sick or stayed home unpaid. Unlike New York, most states do not require such a store to offer any sick leave, ever, to employees who work less than 40 hours a week. Think about that the next time your waitress coughs.

MINIMUM WAGES AND MINIMUM HOURS
Much is said these days about raising the minimum wage (and it should be raised), and indeed, on January 1, 2016, 13 states did raise theirs. But what sounds like good news is unlikely to have much effect on the working poor.
In New York, for instance, the minimum went from $8.75 an hour to the $9.00 I was making. New York is relatively generous. The current federal minimum wage is $7.25 and 21 states require only that federal standard. Presumably to prove some grim point or other, Georgia and Wyoming officially mandate an even lower minimum wage and then unofficially require the payment of $7.25 to avoid Department of Labor penalties. Some Southern states set no basement figure, presumably for similar reasons.
Don’t forget: any minimum wage figure mentioned is before taxes. Brackets vary, but let’s knock an even 10 percent off that hourly wage just as a reasonable guess about what is taken out of a minimum-wage worker’s salary. And there are expenses to consider, too. My round-trip bus fare every day, for instance, was $5.50.  [It costs 60¢ per mile to own a vehicle, on average.]  That meant I worked most of my first hour for bus fare and taxes. Keep in mind that some workers have to pay for childcare as well, which means that it’s not impossible to imagine a scenario in which someone could actually come close to losing money by going to work for short shifts at minimum wage.  
In addition to the fundamental problem of simply not paying people enough, there’s the additional problem of not giving them enough hours to work. The two unfortunately go together, which means that raising the minimum rate is only part of any solution to improving life in the low-wage world.
At the store where I worked for minimum wage a few years ago, for instance, hours were capped at 39 a week. The company did that as a way to avoid providing the benefits that would kick in once one became a “full time” employee. Things have changed since 2012—and not for the better.
Four years later, the hours of most minimum-wage workers are capped at 29. That’s the threshold after which most companies with 50 or more employees are required to pay into the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) fund on behalf of their workers. Of course, some minimum wage workers get fewer than 29 hours for reasons specific to the businesses they work for.
IT’S MATH TIME
While a lot of numbers follow, remember that they all add up to a picture of how people around us are living every day.
In New York, under the old minimum wage system, $8.75 multiplied by 39 hours equaled $341.25 a week before taxes. Under the new minimum wage, $9.00 times 29 hours equals $261 a week. At a cap of 29 hours, the minimum wage would have to be raised to $11.77 just to get many workers back to the same level of take-home pay that I got in 2012, given the drop in hours due to the Affordable Care Act. Health insurance is important, but so is food.
In other words, a rise in the minimum wage is only half the battle; employees need enough hours of work to make a living.
About food: if a minimum wage worker in New York manages to work two jobs (to reach 40 hours a week) without missing any days due to illness, his or her yearly salary would be $18,720. In other words, it would fall well below the Federal Poverty Line of $21,775. That’s food stamp territory. To get above the poverty line with a 40-hour week, the minimum wage would need to go above $10. At 29 hours a week, it would need to make it to $15 an hour. Right now, the highest minimum wage at a state level is in the District of Columbia at $11.50. As of now, no state is slated to go higher than that before 2018. (Some cities do set their own higher minimum wages.)
So add it up: The idea of raising the minimum wage (“the fight for $15”) is great, but even with that $15 in such hours-restrictive circumstances, you can’t make a loaf of bread out of a small handful of crumbs. In short, no matter how you do the math, it’s nearly impossible to feed yourself, never mind a family, on the minimum wage. It’s like being trapped on an M.C. Escher staircase.
The federal minimum wage hit its high point in 1968 at $8.54 in today’s dollars and while this country has been a paradise in the ensuing decades for what we now call the “One Percent,” it’s been downhill for low-wage workers ever since. In fact, since it was last raised in 2009 at the federal level to $7.25 per hour, the minimum has lost about 8.1 percent of its purchasing power to inflation. In other words, minimum-wage workers actually make less now than they did in 1968, when most of them were probably kids earning pocket money and not adults feeding their own children.
In adjusted dollars, the minimum wage peaked when the Beatles were still together and the Vietnam War raged.
WHO PAYS?
Many of the arguments against raising the minimum wage focus on the possibility that doing so would put small businesses in the red. This is disingenuous indeed, since 20 mega-companies dominate the minimum-wage world. Walmart alone employs 1.4 million minimum-wage workers; Yum Brands (Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, KFC) is in second place; and McDonald’s takes third. Overall, 60 percent of minimum-wage workers are employed by businesses not officially considered “small” by government standards, and of course carve-outs for really small businesses are possible, as was done with Obamacare.
Keep in mind that not raising wages costs you money.
Those minimum wage workers who can’t make enough and need to go on food assistance? Well, Walmart isn’t paying for those food stamps (now called SNAP), you are. The annual bill that states and the federal government foot for working families making poverty-level wages is $153 billion. A single Walmart Supercenter costs taxpayers between $904,542 and $1.75 million per year in public assistance money. According to Florida Congressman Alan Grayson, in many states Walmart employees are the largest group of Medicaid recipients. They are also the single biggest group of food stamp recipients. In other words, those everyday low prices at the chain are, in part, subsidized by your tax money. Meanwhile, an estimated 18 percent of food stamps (SNAP) are spent at Walmart.
If the minimum wage goes up, will spending on food benefits programs go down? Almost certainly. But won’t stores raise prices to compensate for the extra money they will be shelling out for wages? Possibly. But don’t worry—raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour would mean a Big Mac would cost all of 17 cents more.
TIME THEFT
My retail job ended a little earlier than I had planned, because I committed time theft.
You probably don’t even know what time theft is. It may sound like something from a sci-fi novel, but minimum-wage employers take time theft seriously. The basic idea is simple enough: if they’re paying you, you’d better be working. While the concept is not invalid per se, the way it’s used by the mega-companies reveals much about how the lowest wage workers are seen by their employers in 2016.
The problem at my chain store was that its in-store cafe was a lot closer to my work area than the time clock where I had to punch out whenever I was going on a scheduled break. One day, when break time on my shift came around, I only had 15 minutes. So I decided to walk over to that cafe, order a cup of coffee, and then head for the place where I could punch out and sit down (on a different floor at the other end of the store).
We’re talking an extra minute or two, no more, but in such operations every minute is tabulated and accounted for. As it happened, a manager saw me and stepped in to tell the cafe clerk to cancel my order. Then, in front of whoever happened to be around, she accused me of committing time theft—that is, of ordering on the clock. We’re talking about the time it takes to say, “Grande, milk, no sugar, please.” But no matter, and getting chastised on company time was considered part of the job, so the five minutes we stood there counted as paid work.
At $9 an hour, my per-minute pay rate was 15 cents, which meant that I had time-stolen perhaps 30 cents. I was, that is, being nickel and dimed to death.
ECONOMICS IS ABOUT PEOPLE
It seems wrong in a society as wealthy as ours that a person working full-time can’t get above the poverty line. It seems no less wrong that someone who is willing to work for the lowest wage legally payable must also give up so much of his or her self-respect and dignity as a kind of tariff. Holding a job should not be a test of how to manage life as one of the working poor.
I didn’t actually get fired for my time theft. Instead, I quit on the spot. Whatever the price is for my sense of self-worth, it isn’t 30 cents. Unlike most of this country’s working poor, I could afford to make such a decision. My life didn’t depend on it. When the manager told a handful of my coworkers watching the scene to get back to work, they did. They couldn’t afford not to.


The author, Peter van Buren, spent 24 years with the State Department and, as a problematic whistleblower, was forced to retire after a long battle, 2011-2012.  This narrative was part of an article published by The Nation in February, 2016.

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

All the Lies

American thinking is being dulled by the flood of false statements from the media, politicians, and disappointingly, even by the oval office.  Not every president has been honest and open with the citizens.  Some have made inaccurate statements along the way and some have lied to us, but today is perhaps different.

False facts abound. Insulting responses to critics are reminiscent of sibling insults when mom and dad weren't around. 

Most of us are at a loss to know how we should react to such behavior.  If it were in our family, our options would range from serious to severe.  Chronic untruth would not be left unaddressed in our children or tolerated in our primary relationships.  What are our options in the public arena?

There's a problem with false statements being left unchallenged, of course.  

When we are overwhelmed with false, or potentially false, statements, our brains pretty quickly become so overworked that we stop trying to sift through everything.
Our brain responds to lies in two steps.
     We (1) accept and visualize the content as valid before (2) reviewing the facts and considering whether we should unaccept it or not.  The first step is automatic and effortless while the second requires conscious thought and a detailed relabeling of the lie's content in our mental file system.  A flood of lies and misrepresentations can overburden our already demanding mental tasking, and it can distort our understanding, our view of things.  Unless we're exceptionally careful, the flood can change our worldview based on falsehood.

Manufactured misinformation is not a new problem.  Over the years ...
Referring to Jews or non-whites as an 'inferior race' is one example.
Insisting nicotine is not addictive and smoking is not a health problem is another.
Referring to abortion as 'reproductive health care' and an unborn child as a 'fetus' is another.
Referring to climate science as a 'liberal hoax' is another.
Suggesting Mexico sends us their 'rapists and criminals', etc., is another.
Categorizing Muslims in general as 'terrorists' is another.
Describing folks receiving assistance as 'leeches' is another.

Whether it is from an office holder, the news media, or some extremist, we face a deluge of conflicting information, much of which is demonstrably false.  These are indeed interesting times, especially for those concerned with traditional values and national integrity.

Monday, June 19, 2017

Everything Changes; wonder what's next?

The end of the automobile industry and the global oil industry are both predicted by economic and industry modeling.  Perhaps.  Maybe.  This fellow (Tony Seba) describes the progression of technology, industry, and consumption according to what we've seen so far, and he's perhaps right about what's ahead.  We've been surprised before, of course; for example:
  • “I do not believe the introduction of motor-cars will ever affect the riding of horses.” Scott-Montague, 1903.  😃  In 1900 NYC was filled with horses and buggies, they were essential.  It took about a decade and a half to replace 95% of them with automobiles.
  • “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” Ken Olson, genius engineer, 1977   😀 We know how that turned out.
  • Landline telephones were in every home when the first clunky mobile phone was marketed in the 80's.  AT&T's 15-year prediction said there would be perhaps 900,000 customers for mobile phones.  There were 109 million.  They missed the actual number by 120x.  In 2014, the number of mobile devices exceeded world population, 7+ billion.
  • Mixing computer things with telephone things would never be popular according to most industry participants.  Then came smartphones ...
  • And ... Apple's $600 smart phone would never be popular according to business analysts.
  • Electric vehicles are 5x-10x more energy efficient than their fossil fuel competitors, they have fewer moving parts and are more reliable, maintainable, and cost effective.  What happens when Uber moves to autonomous (self-driving) electric vehicles?  What happens when an integrated EV can power your home for a day or two?
Such changes in the consumer culture are not trends, they're disruptions.  Changes over time are often portrayed as linear, straight-line changes that advance predictably, a little each year.  Reality is otherwise, and there's a driving factor -- population.

Population growth continues as does urbanization. Consider the changes that might trigger in the marketplace.

Our centralized power grid is costly and inefficient.  I wonder what will change.
Our healthcare industry is clumsy and expensive.  Our transportation industry is inordinately complex and costly.  Our mega-super-store model is inefficient, and so are our shopping malls.  Our banking industry is crooked as a dog's hind leg.  Our international trade mechanisms are proven to be deadly.  I wonder what will change.

It's worth noting that everything changes, often rapidly.  Except truth; that doesn't change.  What's right and fair doesn't change, but literally everything else does.

Had a recent Skype call with a young African friend.  When we first met just a few years ago, he and his family were unreachable without mail or phone service.  Now he and many of the rest are on Facebook.  😎  What do these changes mean to our rapidly evolving cultures?

If politicians are smart, they'll perhaps get out of the way and take credit for the improvements.  🤣

Sunday, June 18, 2017

What's hard about life?

This young fellow came to the teacher and asked what he needed to do to finish well.  He was told to love God and obey the rules.  The guy said he'd done all of that, and the teacher told him to prove it, but he couldn't or perhaps wouldn't.  His wealth and position, it seems, had tainted his thinking, his view of himself, his comfort and luxury and future. He couldn't imagine changing course to a better purpose.

It's hard, the teacher said, for a rich person to finish well. Really hard. Later, the teacher's friends were struggling to understand.  "If that rich fellow can't do it, how can we or anyone?"   There is a way, but it's perhaps not obvious once wealth and class obscure things.

________________________________________

Just to put things in context, that rich young upper class fellow was at the top of the food chain.  He had position and influence, income and a retirement plan, pretty much everything he would need for a good long life.  Only a few folks were well off like him and his family.  Apparently, that can be an impediment.

Back then, regular folks had no wealth.  None.  They depended on a little business, a successful crop, a healthy herd for getting by day to day.  They're like subsistence farmers, perhaps, or the village fisherman of developing countries, or like most of the world today, folks who live on less than $5 per day.  When they pray, "give us this day, bread ...," it's probably for real.

Fitting such truth onto the framework of today's world suggests western culture will face the greatest obstacles to doing anything well; anything at all.

Okay, so we're warned that wealth can become too important in our lives, and we're encouraged to help others, to go all in and really make a difference, ...  and then there's that larger part, the better purpose; we're supposed to follow the teacher.
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"We’re the physical evidence, the tangible proof on this planet that God is good. There’s no higher calling, and there’s no greater truth." -Graham Cooke
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Saturday, June 17, 2017

Ed vs Ad

If we spent our efforts on education instead of advertising, imagine how well informed we might be.

Education consists of information and context, objectivity and principles considered.  Tedious but necessary for an honest life.

Advertising consists of presentation for quick persuasion, exclusion of alternatives, and hiding the real cost.  It's a business strategy to influence our choices and instill product loyalty whether it's fast food or fast news.

There is little education available via the mainstream media.  Most of what we're offered by commercial media is more appropriately categorized as advertising.  Objective reporting has been generally removed from modern journalism, and perhaps deliberately. (ref)(ref)(ref)



Do your own analysis.  Watch for the 'poison pills'.
  • BECAUSE - a commentary that goes beyond the facts to 'because' (the supposed reason someone did something) often assigns a preferred motive.
        "He did this, obviously because he hoped to ...."
    Attributing a motive allows the commentator to define the character and integrity of an individual without evidence beyond their own preferential interpretation of events.  
Motivation cannot be so simply assigned, and doing so is extraordinarily inaccurate, always.  What I think you think is not useful.

  • RESTATING the alternate interpretation - confident reiteration of false information will often persuade.
      "His testimony completely vindicates our ...," is one side's preferred interpretation.
      "The testimony unveils even deeper collusion between ...," is another side's preferred interpretation of precisely the same event.
    If you follow the news just on your favorite commercial media, you'll likely believe the biased version offered without legitimate reason for doing so.
  • EMOTIONAL INCITEMENT - an emotionally charged presentation of the news (product) attempts to engage us in their favor by emotional rhetoric.  Simple statements about complex subjects are easy to inflate and bend.
    "He met with the Russians!  He's a traitor!"  "She deleted her emails!  She's a traitor!" "He tapped my phones!"
    The issues are more complex, and the simple, emotionally charged presentation tends to reinforce bias rather than inform.  The technique is designed to engage and satisfy a particular market segment.
  • VISUAL MANIPULATION - sponsors spent $74.7 billion on tv ads.  The figure does not include print and web.  Advertising and neuromarketing target us and our children, and it's done for profit, not as a service.  From a sexy book cover to a cute dog driving a car to a fun clown with fast food, what we're offered by the media is persuasion, not information.
Most media output (including commercial news) is more appropriately categorized as advertising than as information.  Today, they're all competing for sales, working for revenue and not for public service.
 Teach your children well; and yourself.  If we don't clearly and fully understand, we're likely to be misinformed, perhaps even biased without adequate reason.  We desperately need objectivity and principle in discussions today, and it's a difficult battle, one for which our children must be equipped.  
As my wife would suggest, don't be an idiot.     

Monday, June 12, 2017

Prove it!

From the 17th century to today, scientific method looks like this - you begin with your thoughts (hypothesis) on a subject - 
  • observe
  • measure and experiment
  • review and revise the hypothesis based on the result
The method proves or disproves your thinking.  It's proved if you're able to to reliably reproduce the expected result.

That's how we learn, and if we're smart, we'll change and grow.

Relationship is a good example.  Today's thought - in relationships, anger does harm.
  • by observation, we note that anger produces division and weakens the bond between us.
  • by measure, 
    • the more often anger intrudes, the more fractured the relationship becomes.  
    • the more intense the anger, the greater the fracture.
  • by experiment, we find that understanding and objective communication strengthen the relationship and provide a positive experience for the parties.
  • if we're smart, we'll review and revise our communication methodology accordingly.
Okay, that's helpful, but we'll only benefit if we actually do what we've proven is best.
We've all known folks with regular anger content in their relationships.  Even ourselves, perhaps.  Knowing the truth is not the same as doing it.
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So here's another life issue.
“Try this test," God says.  "Bring a small part of your harvest to me so there can be food in my house. Test me!  If you do this, I will bless you.  Good things will come to you like rain falling from the sky.  You will have more than enough of everything."
And again, "Give and it will be given to you, in full measure and more than enough."

We can prove or disprove the offered hypothesis.

Interestingly, the science agrees.  
  • Most folks are naturally clingy about their finances.  Over time, it can become a fear-based character trait, a lifestyle.
  • Those who give are less concerned about having, about getting ahead.  
    • Giving seems to relieve them of the fear associated with perhaps not having enough, and they're able to live more confidently, more reasonably.  
    • The change in them enables opportunity and productivity that before perhaps was hidden under the rug of insecurity.
    • And interestingly, it opens relationships for helping each other.  It's a life changer.
  • Note: the change comes following a more benevolent heart, BUT if you give in order to get something in return, no change.  You'll still be unchanged and emotionally crippled.
Understanding the science (psychology, in this case) doesn't minimize the offer our Lord makes.  Most of the instructions we find in scripture are practical advice, things that work best in life.  He instructs us practically like a father teaching his children would.  He lays out how things are likely to play out based on the choices we make.  Is that a blessing?  Of course.  Miraculous?  Yes; miraculous as in giving us a path none would find without His help.

Givers worry less, smile more, and enjoy life more.  There's more involved than just the gift, of course.

Okay, I'll shut up.